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Automotive Transmission Market worth $84.2 billion by 2028 – Exclusive Report by MarketsandMarkets™
Automotive Transmission Market is projected to grow from USD 62.4 billion in 2023 to USD 84.2 billion by 2028, at a CAGR of 6.2% from 2023 to 2028, according to a new report by MarketsandMarkets. The automotive transmission market is driven by factors such as – a shift towards automatic transmissions due to increasing customer preference for convenience and rising demand for fuel-efficient vehicles leading to advancements in transmission technologies. Rising demand for electric and hybrid vehicles requires specialized transmissions, like continuously variable transmissions (CVTs) in hybrid vehicles and single-speed transmissions in BEVs, to maximize efficiency and performance. Hence, the transmission market is expected to experience a shift from conventional transmissions to hybrid/electric vehicle transmissions in the coming years.
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Browse in-depth TOC on “Automotive Transmission Market“.
315 – Tables68 – Figures 328 – Pages
Automotive Transmission Market Scope:
Report Coverage
Details
Market Size
USD 84.2 billion by 2028
Growth Rate
CAGR of 6.2%
Largest Market
Asia Pacific
Market Dynamics
Drivers, Restraints, Opportunities & Challenges
Forecast Period
2023-2028
Forecast Units
Value (USD Million/Billion)
Report Coverage
Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
Segments Covered
Transmission Type (Manual Transmission, Automatic Transmission, CVT, DCT, AMT), Fuel Type, Vehicle Type, Hybrid Vehicle, Two-Wheeler Transmission, Number of Forward Gears and Region
Geographies Covered
Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, Middle East, Africa and Latin America
Report Highlights
Updated financial information / product portfolio of players
Key Market Opportunities
Increasing adoption of automatic transmissions and development of hybrid drives
Key Market Drivers
Growing demand for lightweight transmission systems
CVT is estimated to be the fastest-growing transmission market regarding the number of forward gears during the forecast period.
Continuously Variable Transmission (CVT) is an automatic transmission technology that uses two pulleys connected by a steel belt. It adjusts the size of these pulleys to change gear ratios smoothly, avoiding jolts during shifts and providing a comfortable driving experience. With the increasing popularity of SUVs globally, automatic transmissions like CVTs are becoming more preferred for city driving. CVTs provide an excellent opportunity for transmission manufacturers because they offer better fuel efficiency and lower carbon emissions than other automatic transmission types. CVTs are mainly used in hybrid and electric vehicles, which are in higher demand due to environmental concerns. Considering the trends in the market, companies like Bosch are also introducing upgraded products like eCVT, introduced in September 2023. This eCVT combines CVT technology with an electric motor for better efficiency and performance in electric vehicles.
Major car brands from Japan, South Korea, and China – Hyundai, Kia, Toyota, Honda, Nissan, Geely, BYD, and Great Wall Motors- offer CVT options in their popular models. Luxury sedans like the Lexus NX 250 and Mercedes-Benz A-Class offer CVT options for a balance of fuel efficiency and power. In the SUV segment, the Audi Q3 and Range Rover Evoque provide CVTs for a smooth and quiet urban driving experience. Hybrid and electric vehicles like the Toyota Prius and Nissan Leaf e+ utilize CVTs for seamless integration of power sources and efficient performance.
The CVTs are estimated to gain a significant market share in coming years with advantages such as adaptability to various driving conditions, optimized power delivery, compact design, reduced emissions, and consumer acceptance.
Passenger car segment is estimated to be the largest segment during the forecast period.
According to ACEA, global passenger car production witnessed a notable 8.7% increase in 2022 compared to the previous year. Asia Pacific emerges as the dominant region in the passenger car market, with China and Japan leading the pack. Projections from the International Energy Agency (IEA) highlight a significant surge in passenger car ownership, particularly in India, which is expected to contribute substantially to global vehicle production. The IEA forecasts a staggering 775% increase in passenger car ownership in India over the next 24 years, with the number of vehicles per 1,000 inhabitants rising from 20 to 175. Hatchbacks are popular in Europe and some parts of Asia Pacific due to their practicality, maneuverability, and cost-effectiveness. Traditional automatic transmissions (ATS) with 6-10 speeds are prevalent in the mid-size and large cars segment, prioritizing comfort and handling. Automatic transmissions are gaining popularity in the passenger car market due to their convenience and effortless driving experience, especially in congested urban areas. Advancements in technology have improved fuel efficiency and performance, making them appealing to a broader range of consumers. Options like continuously variable transmissions (CVTs) and dual-clutch transmissions (DCTs) further enhance their appeal, offering seamless acceleration and rapid gear shifts. Certain models like the Toyota Camry and Honda Accord may opt for continuously variable transmissions (CVTs) to optimize fuel efficiency. As consumer preferences evolve towards comfort and convenience, automatic transmissions will continue dominating the market.
Asia Pacific is estimated to be the fastest-growing market for automotive transmission in 2023
The Chinese market is the largest in the Asia-Pacific region and is experiencing notable growth in the demand for premium vehicles. This trend is driven by rising disposable incomes among consumers, contributing to increased sales of high-end automobiles. According to the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), retail sales of luxury cars surged by 17 percent year-on-year and 35 percent month-on-month, reaching 270,000 units. China is on track to become the fastest-growing market for luxury and ultra-luxury vehicles by 2031, with automatic transmissions witnessing growth driven by the expanding luxury car and SUV segments. This growth in luxury car sales in China is expected to fuel demand for automatic transmissions as consumers increasingly prefer the convenience and comfort they offer. This surge in demand will drive the expansion of the automotive transmission industry in the region. In parallel, India and South Korea are witnessing increased vehicle production due to rising disposable incomes and significant investments in R&D, particularly in EV technology and autonomous driving. In the Asia-Pacific region, hybrid vehicle sales are expected to surpass pure EVs due to factors like limited charging infrastructure and consumer preferences, thus driving the demand for automatic and CVT transmissions, which are set to dominate the market. Additionally, strict government regulations, such as tighter fuel efficiency standards in China, further boost the adoption of automatic transmissions. While the transmission market in APAC remains diverse, with both manual and automatic options catering to specific regional and segment preferences, the future appears to favor automatic transmissions, supported by ongoing urbanization, changing consumer preferences, and continuous technological advancements.
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Key Market Players:
The major players in Automotive Transmission Companies include Aisin Corporation (Japan), ZF Friedrichshafen AG (Germany), Magna International Inc. (Canada), JATCO Ltd. (Japan), BorgWarner Inc. (US).
Recent Developments
In December 2023, ZF Friedrichshafen AG expanded the local production of transmissions and axles in Coimbatore, India. The expansion includes a new plant catering to domestic and selected export markets. To fulfill customer expectations, the company aims to meet rising demands for intelligent systems, sustainable tech, and swift development cycles.
In September 2023, Aisin Corporation presented a range of electrification technologies and innovations at the 2023 Detroit Auto Show. It includes advanced axles for enhanced energy efficiency, a 1-motor Hybrid Transmission, and a 2-motor Hybrid System for improved performance.
In October 2022, Magna International Inc. and Stellantis developed a 48-volt hybrid dual-clutch transmission for the Jeep Renegade and Compass e-Hybrid. This 7-speed transmission delivers up to 320 Nm of torque and employs torque-split technology for optimized efficiency between the combustion engine and the e-motor.
In July 2022, BluE Nexus, Aisin, and Denso collaborated on a 1-motor hybrid transmission for the new Toyota Crown Crossover RS version. This transmission combines a Direct Shift-6AT, drive motor, and inverter into a single unit, ensuring excellent acceleration and fuel efficiency.
In May 2022, ZF Friedrichshafen AG developed the second generation of the EcoLife CoachLine, a 6-speed automatic transmission designed for urban, intercity, and mountainous routes. This transmission incorporates a start-stop function, delivering up to 3% fuel savings compared to the previous version.
In March 2022, JATCO Ltd. introduced a novel surface machining technology for wet clutches, which offers increased stability, frictional characteristics, and durability. It is engaged in joint development with Tokuhatsu Co., Ltd. (Japan), leveraging micro press technology to prepare for mass production of AT, CVT, and e-axle for electrified vehicles.
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Hugues Péribère of Overseed Named in the 2024 Business Worldwide Magazine CEO Awards
Hugues Péribère, CEO of Overseed, has been named CEO of the Year in Europe’s Biopharmaceutical Industry in the 2024 Business Worldwide CEO Awards.
Internationally acclaimed for celebrating the most esteemed C-level executives, the awards recognise outstanding leaders across a wide range of industries. The focus is on the visionaries—CEOs, Managing Directors, and senior managers—whose leadership drives their organisations to success.
Péribère’s achievement highlights his exemplary work in leading Overseed, a pioneering force in France’s biopharmaceutical landscape, particularly in medical cannabis production. Under his leadership, Overseed has emerged as a frontrunner in the development of pharmaceutical-grade medical cannabis in France. With expertise in genetics, agronomy, and pharmaceutical chemistry, Overseed is set to become the first French manufacturer of 100% cannabis-based medicines, helping to shape the future of healthcare as France prepares for the legalisation of medical cannabis in 2025.
Péribère, an agronomic engineer with a strong background in managing specialised plant cultivation across Europe, founded Overseed in 2020. His deep understanding of supply chains, geopolitical and climatic issues related to production, and the medical benefits of cannabis has positioned Overseed as a key player in addressing critical public health needs through innovative cannabinoid treatments.
The company is dedicated to producing high-quality, pharmaceutical-grade cannabinoid products that meet the needs of patients suffering from conditions such as chemotherapy side effects, multiple sclerosis, and neuropathic pain. By focusing on national sovereignty and producing its treatments within France, Overseed ensures reliable patient access and mitigates risks of supply chain disruptions.
“Overseed is not just about responding to market demands; we are building an industry that will serve the public health of France for years to come,” said Péribère. “This award reflects our team’s commitment to advancing medical research and setting a high standard for cannabinoid-based therapies.”
Overseed has been a leader in research and development since 2021, when it became the first company to receive R&D authorization for the cultivation of Cannabis sativa L. in France. The company’s partnerships with institutions such as the CNRS/CBM and the University Hospital of Orléans have enabled critical research into expanding the therapeutic use of cannabis.
With plans to further scale its operations, Overseed is set to meet the growing demand for medical cannabis as legalisation approaches. Overseed’s diverse product portfolio, including CBD- and THC-dominant oils, will address the specific needs of patients suffering from conditions approved for medical cannabis treatment.
To learn more about Overseed’s journey and its pioneering work in medical cannabis production, visit www.overseed.fr.
Further information about the Business Worldwide CEO Awards can be found at https://www.bwmonline.com/2024-ceo-awards-winners/
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The Readyverse Debuts AI Tool “Promptopia” for Limitless Creativity in Gaming
Readyverse Studios, a leading next-gen game publisher, proudly unveils Promptopia, an AI-powered generative creation tool that brings unmatched creative possibilities to the digital world. Making its debut at the Blockworks tech conference Permissionless III, Promptopia is an innovative sandbox experience where players can bring their imaginations to life by creating game-ready objects, environments, music, and more with the simplest of text prompts.
Unlocking a new level of digital creativity, Promptopia combines multiplayer gameplay with real-time AI asset generation allowing users to build, share, and play in a world shaped by their own ideas. By harnessing the latest in AI technology, Promptopia shatters the boundaries between creators and players, transforming anyone into a game designer with ease.
Promptopia provides players with limitless creative freedom, integrating AI tools in real time to generate 3D assets and environments within The Readyverse platform, which already includes a variety of globally recognized IP, such as Reebok, Cool Cats, DeLorean and Ready Player One. From stunning scenery to interactive objects, Promptopia opens a world of possibilities in a social, collaborative virtual environment.
“Promptopia is a new experimental game experience that allows us to see how generative AI and game mechanics can come together in interesting ways,” said Readyverse Studios Co-Founders Aaron McDonald and Shara Senderoff. “Promptopia builds the groundwork for the UGC experience in The Readyverse. We’re giving players the ability to make what’s in their mind an immediate reality, and have prompt engineering become part of a deeper immersive gameplay experience. We’ve prioritized creativity and fun at the core so the interactive user experience can be appreciated by every gamer as they bring their imaginations to life through gameplay. It’s a blank canvas waiting for your ideas to be incorporated.”
While many tech giants are exploring the possibilities of AI, Promptopia from Readyverse Studios sets a new standard by offering an unparalleled level of integration within gameplay. As part of The Readyverse ecosystem, and using the novel “Altered State” generative 3D model developed by Futureverse and music AI platform Jen, players can generate real-time, game-ready assets, environments, and soundtracks through simple text prompts. Promptopia is designed to democratize game creation, allowing anyone to become a creator regardless of their technical skill level.
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The Rise of AI Drives 9 Fold Surge in Liquid Cooling Technology
AI servers, driven by Nvidia’s GB200 superchip, have experienced significant growth. The cutting-edge B200 chip, due to its high thermal design power, requires direct-to-chip cooling. Supermicro announced that it had shipped over 2000 direct-liquid-cooled AI server racks by the end of August 2024, and it has expanded its manufacturing capacity to 5000 racks per month. Supermicro reported that it has around 75% of the liquid-cooled AI server rack market, and IDTechEx believes that this production capacity expansion will lead to a surge in liquid-cooled server racks, as well as the number of cold plates. The projections for the number of cold plates for AI servers in IDTechEx’s new report, “Thermal Management for Data Centers 2025-2035: Technologies, Markets, and Opportunities”, align with Supermicro’s latest announcement.
IDTechEx believes that this production capacity expansion is expected to drive a rapid increase in the deployment of liquid-cooled racks across the AI and high-performance computing (HPC) sectors, along with a notable rise in the use of cold plates. Cold plates are integral to direct-liquid-cooling systems, as they are responsible for absorbing and dissipating the significant heat generated by high-performance chips like Nvidia’s B200. IDTechEx’s recent research into thermal management for data centers echoes Supermicro’s projections, highlighting the increasing importance of liquid cooling technologies in managing the heat loads associated with next-generation AI and HPC hardware.
Direct-to-chip (D2C) cooling, also known as cold plate cooling, is a sophisticated cooling method wherein a cold plate is mounted directly onto the chip (GPU or CPU). The plate facilitates the transfer of heat from the chip to a circulating coolant, which then dissipates the heat. D2C cooling can be divided into two main categories: single-phase and two-phase systems, depending on the type of coolant used. Single-phase D2C typically uses a water-glycol mixture, which circulates through the system and transfers heat away from the chip via convection. This type of cooling is efficient for systems with moderate TDPs, as the coolant remains in a liquid state throughout the process. In contrast, two-phase D2C cooling uses a coolant like fluorinated refrigerant, which absorbs heat through a phase change. As the coolant transitions from liquid to gas, it provides significantly greater cooling power, making it well-suited for systems with extremely high TDPs.
The rapid increase in chip TDPs is driving the demand for more advanced cooling solutions. AI and HPC applications, in particular, are pushing the limits of current cooling technologies, as these workloads require chips with significantly higher power consumption to handle complex computations. Nvidia’s GPU roadmap, combined with Intel’s recent announcement of its Falcon Shores GPU – expected to have a TDP of 1,500W – suggests that GPUs and CPUs with TDPs exceeding 1,500W likely become common within the next one to two years. IDTechEx predicts that this ongoing rise in TDP will eventually lead to a shift from single-phase to two-phase D2C cooling systems, as the latter offers superior heat dissipation capabilities required for these high-power chips despite the unclear timeline.
In addition to direct-to-chip cooling, immersion cooling has garnered significant attention as an alternative solution for high-performance systems. Similar to D2C, immersion cooling can be split into two categories: single-phase immersion cooling (1-PIC) and two-phase immersion cooling (2-PIC). However, unlike D2C, immersion cooling involves submerging the entire server into a bath of coolant, which absorbs heat directly from all components. This method is highly effective for cooling densely packed systems with high power requirements, as it eliminates the need for air-based cooling entirely. In single-phase immersion cooling, the coolant remains in a liquid state, similar to single-phase D2C. Two-phase immersion, however, leverages a phase change in the coolant, similar to two-phase D2C, to provide even more efficient heat dissipation.
While immersion cooling offers numerous advantages in terms of thermal efficiency, it comes with several challenges. The process of submerging servers requires extensive retrofitting of existing infrastructure, as well as rigorous material compatibility tests to ensure that the components can withstand prolonged exposure to the coolant. This results in higher upfront costs compared to D2C cooling systems. Additionally, immersion cooling systems, especially two-phase variants, face regulatory challenges. For example, 3M’s Novec products, commonly used as two-phase coolants, are set to be discontinued by the end of 2025. As of now, no PFAS-free or “forever chemical”-free two-phase coolants have been officially announced, adding another layer of complexity for companies considering immersion cooling solutions.
Cooling in data centers occurs at various levels, ranging from chip-level to facility-level cooling. Each level requires different cooling strategies, with technologies like D2C and immersion cooling primarily focusing on chip, server, and rack-level thermal management. At the room and facility levels, air-based cooling remains the most common approach in 2024. Computer room air conditioning (CRAC) units and computer room air handling (CRAH) units are widely used to cool entire server rooms or data center floors. However, the growing heat loads generated by high-performance AI and HPC systems are pushing the limits of air cooling, prompting the adoption of more efficient liquid-based solutions.
One such solution is liquid-to-liquid (L2L) cooling, which is becoming increasingly popular for facility-level heat management. In L2L cooling, a cooling distribution unit (CDU) transfers heat from one liquid loop to another, enhancing heat exchange efficiency. This system is particularly effective for data centers dealing with higher heat loads from AI and HPC workloads. Supermicro’s CEO has predicted that liquid-cooled data centers, which currently represent around 1% of the market, will grow to 30% by 2026. IDTechEx shares this optimistic outlook, noting that while L2L cooling is gaining traction, its widespread adoption will likely be concentrated in newly constructed data centers due to the significant retrofitting required for existing facilities. However, many existing data centers, particularly those using CRAH units, already have facility water systems in place, which can be leveraged for L2L cooling retrofits. These existing water systems are often the starting point for upgrading older data centers to accommodate more advanced liquid cooling technologies.
In conclusion, the rapid rise of AI and HPC applications is driving a fundamental shift in data center cooling strategies. As chips like Nvidia’s B200 and Intel’s Falcon Shores GPU push the limits of thermal design power, direct-to-chip and immersion cooling solutions are becoming critical to managing the heat loads in modern data centers. This unprecedented transition brings significant opportunities to players in the data center cooling value chain, including but not limited to coolant suppliers, server makers, system integrators, cold plate manufacturers, materials suppliers, and cooling equipment (e.g., HVAC) suppliers. More details about the opportunities can be found in IDTechEx’s latest research report, “Thermal Management for Data Centers 2025-2035: Technologies, Markets, and Opportunities”.
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